Will >= 1 alignment researcher/paper cite "maximum diffusion reinforcement learning" as alignment-relevant in 2025?
2
100Ṁ105Jan 1
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?
2% chance
By the end of 2025, which piece of advice will I feel has had the most positive impact on me becoming an effective AI alignment researcher?
Will "Defining alignment research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
94% chance
Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?
81% chance
Will a paper titled "maximum sparsity reinforcement learning" come out by EOY2027?
50% chance
Will "Alignment remains a hard, unsolved problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will taking annual MRIs of the smartest alignment researchers turn out alignment-relevant by 2033?
7% chance
Will "Alignment will happen by default. What’s next?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will ARC's Heuristic Arguments research substantially advance AI alignment before 2027?
15% chance