Which year will be the first where more electric than combustion-engine vehicles are sold in the USA?
0
2502040
2028
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Which year will be the first where more electric than combustion-engine vehicles are sold in the USA?
For this question, hybrid vehicles that have a combustion engine but ALSO have a range battery will be counted with combustion engine vehicles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will electric vehicles make up more than 25% of new US car sales by the end of 2025?
2% chance
U.S. BEV sales exceed 87,000 units in December 2025?
55% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 35,000 units in Dec 2025?
46% chance
U.S. BEV sales to exceed 85,000 units in November 2025?
55% chance
What will be the total number of electric vehicles sold globally in 2025?
23m
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 24,500 units in Dec 2025?
56% chance
Which year will electric and plugin hybrid new car sales be a majority of all new car sales in the USA?
2029
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 20,380 units in Nov 2025?
40% chance
U.S. BEV sales to exceed 80,000 units in January 2026?
66% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
30% chance