By when will New Glenn first launch with 9 engines?
5
1kแน13502029
6%
2027 Q1
11%
2027 Q2
22%
2027 Q3
33%
2027 Q4
43%
2028 Q1
54%
2028 Q2
64%
2028 Q3
70%
2028 Q4
Blue Origin is planning to launch an upgraded version of New Glenn with nine BE-4s.
Resolution criteria:
Only first stage engines count toward the nine. Upper stage engines are irrelevant. The timezone of the launch pad will be used. This will resolve YES if the rocket lifts off the launch pad; success is irrelevant. Dates are during or before.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2026?
5.0
By when will New Glenn flight 3 launch?
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Heavy in 2025?
# of New Glenn launches in 2030 calendar year
Will New Glenn 3 fly on a reused first stage?
38% chance
How many times will NASA's SLS rocket launch?
4.9
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
72% chance
Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?