There will be a major foreign terrorist attack in the US this year at
10
550Ṁ3814Dec 31
24%
New York City
21%
Washington D.C.
17%
Los Angeles
17%
San Francisco
17%
San Diego
10%
Indianapolis
9%
Seattle
6%
Philadelphia
6%
San Antonio
6%
San Jose
6%
Austin
6%
Jacksonville
6%
Fort Worth
6%
Columbus
6%
Denver
6%
Boston
6%
Houston
6%
Phoenix
6%
Detroit
6%
Chicago
Must have >=10 fatalities, or >=50 casualties
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
The next major foreign terrorist attack in the US will be at
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
20% chance
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]
Will a Silicon Valley company be the target of a domestic terrorism attack by end 2025?
6% chance
Big terrorist attack in Europe by end of 2025?
10% chance
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
15% chance
Will a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
15% chance
Fatal terrorist attack via drone swarm in the West before 2026-06-18?
14% chance
Will there be another major US intelligence incident in this Trump term? (Post-Atlantic)
89% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than October 7th before 2030
44% chance