Resolves based on any State Prime Minister (Ministerpräsident) elections in German state parliaments in 2026, whether after scheduled state elections or otherwise (e.g., a state PM resigning).

Resolves YES if AfD MPs vote for a winning candidate AND their votes are necessary for the candidate to win.

Resolves NO if all State Prime Ministers elected in 2026 are elected without necessary AfD support.

Scheduled 2026 state elections:

• Baden-Württemberg (8 March)

• Rhineland-Palatinate (22 March)

• Saxony-Anhalt (6 September)

• Berlin (20 September)

• Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (20 September)

For the scheduled elections held in 2026, the subsequent Prime Minister vote counts even if it takes place in 2027.

Example: This market would have resolved YES in 2019 for the election of Thomas Kemmerich (FDP) as State Prime Minister of Thuringia in 2020 with votes from the AfD (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Thuringian_government_crisis).

Note: If votes are secret, resolution will be based on publicly available information (e.g., coalition agreements, party statements). In ambiguous cases, resolves based on market creator's best judgment.