What movie will win Best Picture? 🏆|🎬 2026 Oscars
28
1.2kṀ8028Mar 9
70%
One Battle After Another
13%
Hamnet
12%
Marty Supreme
8%
Train Dreams
8%
Sinners
5%
After the Hunt
5%
Avatar: Fire and Ash
5%
Sentimental Value
5%
Frankenstein
4%
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
3%
The Lost Bus
3%
Highest 2 Lowest
3%
Mother Mary
3%
Eddington
3%
The History of Sound
3%
The Roses
3%
The Ballad of a Small Player
3%
Wicked: For Good
2%
Michael
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@MachiNi Oscars can have ties (in theory, not sure if it’s possible in best picture’s ranked choice voting, but certainly ties have happened).
But I don’t think that’s the reason here. This creator often makes dependent markets as independent, I’m guessing so that there can be early resolutions (or extra activity from little arbitrages), but some creators just have that preference