Guess my favorite beverage. At resolution, I will chose my favorite beverage from the list of available options (i.e., it might not actually be my favorite beverage of all beverages, just my favorite one among the list). As a result, I will not resolve to "Other".
The close date is tentative.
I might or might not answer questions you ask. If I provided an answer, the answer will be truthful to my best knowledge.
The current list of options is generated quickly with AI.
Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When both a specific and general option exist (e.g., Espresso vs Coffee): the creator will choose the specific option if they prefer it over the "average" or "generic" version of the general option; otherwise, they will choose the general option.
Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may arbitrarily choose to add new options suggested by users, but is not promising to add any specific suggestions.
Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Beverages the creator is unfamiliar with cannot be their favorite and will not be chosen at resolution. The creator may try suggested beverages if highly recommended.
Update 2025-11-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date is tentative and will likely be extended beyond November 24th while "Other" remains at high probability. The creator will wait to close the market until after conducting a poll and adding new beverage options.
Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date will be extended until the probability of "Other" is low. The creator considers the market ready to close when traders have sufficiently identified the favorite beverage among the available options.
Update 2025-11-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ice cream floats are considered beverages for the purposes of this market (defined as chilled beverages made by adding ice cream to a soft drink or to a mixture of flavored syrup and carbonated water).
Update 2025-11-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): There will probably be a second vote to determine which beverage options to add to the market.
Update 2025-11-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirms this is not a troll market and will not resolve to beverages they would not drink enjoyably.
Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is planning to close the market on Wednesday (pending trader objections). This represents a significant change from the previous tentative close date of 2025-12-02.
Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirms they will not resolve to urine as they do not enjoy it (despite not having tried it). This clarifies that beverages the creator would not enjoy drinking are excluded from resolution, even if unfamiliar with them.
Update 2025-12-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The affordability or cost of a beverage is not a factor in determining the creator's favorite beverage for this market. The creator will select their favorite based on taste/preference alone, regardless of how expensive or cheap the beverage is.
Update 2025-12-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close on Wednesday, December 4th around 11pm ET (note: the creator stated "Wednesday Dec 2" but December 2nd, 2025 is a Tuesday, so this likely refers to December 3rd or 4th). This represents the final close date - traders should make their final trades before this time.
Update 2025-12-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has only committed to drinking their favorite beverage after resolving the market (not necessarily drinking all beverages they've tried or considered).
Update 2025-12-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not be adding any more beverage options to the market before resolution.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8,060 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4,730 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4,128 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3,423 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2,956 |
People are also trading
@Eliza
I thought I saw Simon making a good profit yesterday. Why does it show a negative profit for him now?
@AmmonLam When one of the later answers was added, I think a bunch of peoples' No shares on Other failed to cancel out against their No shares on existing options. So it totally messed up everyone's profit figures because loads of people were holding both Yes and No shares for several options.
Mine still erroneously shows -10,000 profit on the page and my profile, but the profit section under holders is a much smaller figure.
I still wouldn't be confident the currently displayed totals are correct.
Here's my top 3 favorite drinks from the list, in order:
1. Yakult
2.Smoothie
3.Ice cream float
FYI I grew up drinking Yakult as a kid. I love most yogurt drinks on the sweeter end in general. Yakult is also probably my kids' favorite drink. I don't have Yakult at my fridge a the moment but sometimes next week I will record myself drinking one.
Now that the market is over, feel free to ask me how I roughly rank other drinks and why.
@Eliza Yes, even more than Yakult I like fresh coconut juice; and most of all I love drinking acai juice. If any of you haven't tried acai juice I highly recommend it. It's like acai bowls but the drinkable version.