What will happen during Claude Opus 4.5 Plays Pokemon?
35
850Ṁ15k
Dec 30
95%
Defeats Sabrina
90%
Defeats Silph Co Giovanni
88%
Defeats Koga
75%
Run ends/is reset because new Claude version is released
49%
Gets HM03 (Surf) from the Safari Zone
41%
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni
36%
Defeats Blaine
14%
Catches Articuno/Moltres/Zapdos
14%
Defeats the champion
13%
Gets a bicycle
5%
Gets a fifth badge before 37,000 steps
3%
Gets Eevee
3%
Gets HM05 (Flash)
Resolved
YES
Finishes Virdian Forest before step 1073
Resolved
YES
Beats Brock before step 2381
Resolved
YES
Finishes Mt. Moon before step 8247
Resolved
YES
Beats Misty before step 9076
Resolved
YES
Defeats Surge before step 15266
Resolved
YES
Finishes Rock Tunnel before step 20426
Resolved
YES
Defeats Erika

https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon

Claude Plays Pokemon is a Twitch stream where the AI chatbot Claude attempts to beat Pokemon Red. Once the game is reset, all remaining answers resolve NO, even if the stream continues with a new game.

I am N/Aing anything that is annoying to resolve. If I have to pore over multiple days of twitch VODs to figure out which way an answer resolves, I am not going to bother.

I will not bet in this market.

Markets for previous runs:

https://manifold.markets/JoshSnider/what-will-happen-during-the-fifth-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-third-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-second

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-claude-play-0ZnSuI95EO

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Still in Saffron at 35k can resolve YES

"Still in Celadon at 30,000" can resolve NO

lmao

@moobunny oh no he went back to celadon after getting the flute 😭

bought Ṁ10 YES

@moobunny I don’t think it makes sense to resolve this NO if the game is reset before 30k. I think it should resolve N/A.

@moobunny This should resolve yes.

Good market!

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