When will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 90% of all car sales in the USA?
5
310Ṁ1692050
2035
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When will low carbon new vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, plug-in hybrid) be more than 90% of all new car sales in the USA?
For the purposes of this question a low carbon vehicle can be a plugin hybrid, a purely electric vehicle, a hydrogen powered vehicle, or any other that doesn't directly generate significant amounts of carbon emissions. The average vehicle generates 300-400 g CO2 per mile driven so any vehicle generating less than 40g CO2 per mile driven should qualify (with the caveat that combustion-engine vehicles running on gasoline that aren't plugin hybrids will never qualify).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
43% chance
Will electric vehicles make up more than 25% of new US car sales by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
18% chance
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 50% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
47% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 35,000 units in Dec 2025?
46% chance
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2025?
27% chance
U.S. BEV sales exceed 87,000 units in December 2025?
55% chance
U.S. BEV sales to exceed 85,000 units in November 2025?
55% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 24,500 units in Dec 2025?
56% chance
U.S. PHEV sales exceed 20,380 units in Nov 2025?
40% chance