US government builds first AGI-level system?
24
1kṀ34302049
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a project led by the US government build the first AIR-10 system, ie the first AI system that accelerates the rate of AI R&D progress tenfold?
A US government-led project means:
The US government decides when to start/stop developing the ai model
acquires the final model to deploy as it sees fit
More at https://peterwildeford.substack.com/p/should-the-us-do-a-manhattan-project
See source tweet:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
65% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
24% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?