Which AI lab releases an LLM in December?
25
1.1kṀ4718
Dec 31
95%
OpenAI
54%
xAI
44%
Z.ai
29%
Nvidia
28%
Moonshot
19%
Meta SuperIntelligence
18%
Anthropic
Resolved
YES
Google DeepMind
Resolved
YES
DeepSeek
Resolved
YES
Alibaba Qwen
Resolved
YES
Mistral

Definitions for "release" and "in" can be found at Frequent Market Terms' Recommended Definitions

"new" LLM = Either announced by the company as a new model, is clear from numbering/naming (counts api renaming) it is a distinct model, or able to be selected from some menu as a distinct model.

Example: Gemini 2.5 flash 09-25 would count, for September, as a new GDM release.

LLM = A generative AI model that is able to understand and generate some human language(s)

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For models that have both an announcement and a release date: the announcement date determines which month counts for resolution purposes, not the release date.

Example: Gemini 3 Deep Think announced in November counts as a November release for this market, even though it was released in December.

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bought Ṁ200 YES

also out of curiosity does the Gemini 3 Deep Think model count as a release in december or november?

@prismatic November counted for announcement, december counts for release

lol the ai update was so bad

@Bayesian You are saying no for OpenAi but than you say yes for them possible releasing GPT 5.2 sometime this coming week. Why? Also for xAi would Grok 5.2 count?

@MaxLennartson Edit: I meant ask if Grok 4.2 would count or would the model have to be Grok 5?

@MaxLennartson yeah it would count according to resolution criteria

Going forward, consider adding Apple? They seem to be more active in releasing models these days.
https://x.com/_akhaliq/status/1995899476624458002

bought Ṁ138 YES

@Bayesian resolve on DeepSeek-V3.2 and DeepSeek-V3.2-Speciale
https://huggingface.co/collections/deepseek-ai/deepseek-v32

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