Does Conor McGregor run for Prime Minister of Ireland any time before 2028?
12
130Ṁ9102028
33%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The meme becomes reality
easier criteria for resolution (any political position):
https://manifold.markets/Blomfilter/does-connor-mcgregor-take-up-any-po
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Conor McGregor get 10% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 30% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 5% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Does Conor McGregor take up any political position in a party before 2028?
54% chance
Will Conor McGregor be arrested before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will Conor McGregor go to rehab for alcohol and/or drugs before the end of 2025?
21% chance
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
2% chance
(1k subsidy) Will Connor McGregor fight at UFC White House?
41% chance
Will Conor McGregor defeat Michael Chandler in a UFC fight at the White House before end of 2026?
20% chance
Who will Conor McGregor fight before he retires?
Sort by:
@Chumchulum Just to be clear he was running for president. Taoiseach/Prime Minister isn't even a directly elected position. I'm not sure what the realistic scenario is where he could be seen to be running for Taoiseach. Head of a political party trying to get elected in seats across the country?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Conor McGregor get 10% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 30% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Will Conor McGregor get 5% or more of the vote in the 2025 Ireland presidential election?
1% chance
Does Conor McGregor take up any political position in a party before 2028?
54% chance
Will Conor McGregor be arrested before the end of 2025
12% chance
Will Conor McGregor go to rehab for alcohol and/or drugs before the end of 2025?
21% chance
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
2% chance
(1k subsidy) Will Connor McGregor fight at UFC White House?
41% chance
Will Conor McGregor defeat Michael Chandler in a UFC fight at the White House before end of 2026?
20% chance
Who will Conor McGregor fight before he retires?