Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
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Jan 1
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chance

Resolves as YES if Ukraine successfully hits a Russian target located between 300 km and 1,000 km away from the nearest point on the front line

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https://armyrecognition.com/focus-analysis-conflicts/army/conflicts-in-the-world/russia-ukraine-war-2022/ukraine-confirms-successful-tests-of-hrim-2-tactical-missile-for-future-deployment-against-russia

Hrim-2 has a range of up to 700km

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@ChaosIsALadder When they actually combat tested it the range was ~300km and there has been no news of a launch since the summer when Russia also claimed to have destroyed the factories. Since the one claimed combat launch wasn't from the front line, it couldn't have met the resolution criteria, and a Yes resolution is looking very unlikely.

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