Will there be a point in time where 50% of the US population can not access the internet at the same time? | Manifold

Will there be a point in time where 50% of the US population can not access the internet at the same time?

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Please clarify: Is this narrowly about internet functionality (eg: a BGP catastrophe), or would widespread client-device trouble (eg: the CrowdStrike outage) or infrastructure trouble (EMP or just a really big power outage) that's not specifically about network connectivity also cause this market to resolve YES?

@ScottW The source of the outage can be anything.

Thinking about any sort of "emergency" that would necessitate throttling internet access across thee population.

@DanielKilian The above comment is just a thought and not a criteria for a "yes" in this market.

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Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?

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Related questions

Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?

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Large-scale internet blackout in G20 country by EOY2025?

Will more than 90% of USA households have a broadband internet subscription according to EOY 2025 data?

Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?

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