Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
51
1kṀ17k
2029
57%
Democrats
42%
Republicans
0.7%
Other

Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.

Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.

Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

    • No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.

    • Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.

Politics
US Politics
Republican Party
2028 US presidential election
Democratic Party
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filled a Ṁ20 YES at 11% order

no 2028 election = "other"?
no winner declared in 2028/ dispute over winner = "other"?

@greenglass

No election = Other

Otherwise determined by whoever inaugurates, hence end date.

Arb: https://manifold.markets/market/which-political-party-wins-the-us-p-nUsCQcZ6Lc

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