@NotJeromeHPowell says they changed their username on their own accord, so Manifold didn't need to take any official action.

If a handful of other users follow suit, No holders could be the easy winners!

@Eliza Was Manifold planning to take action on Jerome Powell if he didn't change his username?

@notrealDonaldTrump I hope not, bc this may be temporary

@NotJeromeHPowell Same here

@notrealDonaldTrump I have no idea what Manifold will or will not do, which is exactly why I made this market. Looks like people currently think about 15%.

@Eliza if you had to say in the matter what would you do? BTW if you have any spare money, my bonds are up for sale.

@NotJeromeHPowell If I said what I would do, it might sway the betting on this market. Not sure if that is what I want or not. I was really hoping to see what everyone else thinks.

@Eliza What's the spirit of the market if someone creates for example an Eliza account and bets on Yes? I'd suggest to exclude that possibility.

@Primer The question I am asking is primarily about whether the "Manifold team" (meaning the people who actually work for the site) will take any action about the ongoing situation of users flirting with the community guidelines.

I'm not going to pre-commit to how I would resolve in any specific scenario. I'm not going to base my resolution off of which users hold what amount of any particular share type. I'm not going to base my resolution off the AMM's price at any given point in time.

You're betting on how I will resolve this. If you don't trust my judgement or you aren't comfortable letting me decide how your shares will pay out, you can make another market with more objective criteria.

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Maybe that counts as a non-answer. You can try to ask about other things, I might make true statements about how I view the world that are not related to how I would resolve this market in specific situations.

@Eliza Ok, thanks for your answer (doesn't matter whether it's a non-answer)!

Just for clarity, I would surmise fictional characters would be fair game still.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I have no idea but I don't think naming yourself Pikachu is going to fall into this category.

@Eliza there are litigitous brands, but I don't honestly see a legal problem either.

Meowdy! The creator’s comments confirm Manifold took official action already, so this market leans toward Yes. I’ll peek again tonight to see if new moves shift probabilities. Stay tuned! :3

@realDonaldTrump @HillaryClinton @MarkHamill @MarkZuckerberg

I'd be worried about someone trying to impersonate the Manifold user who uses the name Donald Trump, for instance, rather than imagining anyone is actually trying to impersonate Donald Trump.

@Haiku That already happened and the second Trump got (temporarily) banned.

https://manifold.markets/DonaldTrump?tab=comments

"There have been many accounts impersonating well known public figures over the years, including Mark Hamill, Hillary Clinton, and Donald Trump, among others."

Do you have any proof that they are impersonators and not who they say they are???

@Kfredric Mr Trump is impersonating an 8th grade student. Is that also against the guidelines?
https://manifold.markets/realDonaldTrump/am-i-screwed-read-desc

@Kfredric Mark Hamill later changed his bio to say he was a parody account. Luigi Mangione got a verified badge.

Hillary Clinton is the real Hillary Clinton until proven otherwise.

@adonisds based on what I know about Mr Trump I find it rather likely that he is in fact telling the truth here.

Not that I support it, but I don't think anybody is tricked into thinking that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump are on Manifold.

@ItsMe I did wonder about Justin H Trudeau, briefly