How many EHV-1/EHM cases by December 31?
4
1kṀ3642
Dec 31
157 cases
expected
1%
27 - 39
1%
40 - 59
19%
60 - 89
19%
90 - 129
20%
130 - 169
15%
170 - 200
26%
Above 200

As of November 22, 2025, the Equine Disease Communication Center (EDCC) has confirmed 27 EHV-1/EHM cases across the United States linked to the Women’s Professional Rodeo Association (WPRA) World Finals and Elite Barrel Race event that took place in Waco Texas on November 5-9.

How many confirmed cases (with or without clinical signs) will there be by December 31?

Resolves based on the total confirmed EHV-1/EHM cases reported by EDCC at https://www.equinediseasecc.org/news/article/Equine-Herpesvirus-Myeloencephalopathy-(EHM)-Outbreak as of the last update on December 31.

EHM Outbreak Counts | Equine Disease Communication Center
Infectious Disease
2025 EHV-1 Outbreak
Rodeo
Horses
Horse racing
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

How many EHV-1/EHM cases by December 10?
77.2
More than one confirmed EHV-1/EHM case in Colorado by December 31?
60% chance
Will Colorado implement horse movement restrictions due to the EHV-1/EHM outbreak by December 12?
34% chance
How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?
How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?
How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?
72
Will HKU5-CoV-2 reach 100 confirmed human cases in the US by EOY2025?
1% chance
Will there be 1000 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Infectious disease outbreak at CECOT by end-of-year?
20% chance
Sort by:
reposted

As of December 4, there are now 60 cases

reposted

As of December 1, there are now 46 cases

reposted

As of November 27, there are now 42 cases

As of November 25, there are now 32 cases

As of November 24, there are now 29 cases

People are also trading

How many EHV-1/EHM cases by December 10?
77.2
More than one confirmed EHV-1/EHM case in Colorado by December 31?
60% chance
Will Colorado implement horse movement restrictions due to the EHV-1/EHM outbreak by December 12?
34% chance
How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?
How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?
How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?
72
Will HKU5-CoV-2 reach 100 confirmed human cases in the US by EOY2025?
1% chance
Will there be 1000 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Infectious disease outbreak at CECOT by end-of-year?
20% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy