Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030? | Manifold

Will LLMs be used for academic peer review by 2030?

4

90Ṁ67

2030

71%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve to YES if by Jan. 1, 2030, any journal with the Science or Nature family of journals announces or implements a policy in which LLMs (or another type of AI model) are used to provide peer-review feedback to authors. The LLM must provide feedback to >50% of reviewed papers (though human peer-review could still happen alongside the LLM).

Artificial Intelligence

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Comment hidden

People are also trading

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?

Will I write an academic paper using an LLM by 2030?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Related questions

Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will RL work for LLMs "spill over" to the rest of RL by 2026?

Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?

Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?

Will I write an academic paper using an LLM by 2030?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy