This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 7. Resolution will be determined by whether a formal declaration of war or widely recognized international conflict meeting the definition of World War III has occurred prior to GTA 7's release. If a majority of news organizations call a conflict WW III, that will also be sufficient. GTA 7 is estimated to release sometime between 2032 and 2037, though no official release date has been announced. The market resolves NO if GTA 7 releases without a World War III occurring beforehand.
Background
Rockstar Games has not officially announced Grand Theft Auto 7, making the exact resolution date uncertain. The timeframe for this market spans roughly 7-12 years based on current industry estimates.
Considerations
The definition of "World War III" may be ambiguous—traders should note that regional conflicts, cyber warfare, or proxy wars would not typically qualify unless they escalate to direct military engagement between major world powers. Similarly, the exact release date of GTA 7 remains speculative and could shift significantly based on development timelines.
North Korea + Iran + Syria + Russia + Belarus = one military bloc.
They are in an active war against Ukraine, which is a candidate for EU membership and has close relations with Europe. Ukraine is supported by almost all Western democratic countries with supplies and ammunition.
Currently, related wars or armed conflicts are taking place in Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Libya, Sudan, the Central African Republic, Myanmar, between North and South Korea, around Venezuela, in the Syria–Israel confrontation, and other regions around the globe, effectively making it a real World War III in both cyber warfare and on physical battlefields.