Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?
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1.1kṀ1607Dec 31
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I will base my resolution on the largest version of Gemini 3.0 released, not counting parallel test-time compute scaling (like deep think).
Will resolve if the model comes out before 2026 but Metr doesn’t evaluate it until after.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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