Gemini 3's execution time-horizon?
22
1.5kṀ1796
Dec 31
2,171 steps
expected
17%
100-1000
54%
1000-2000
17%
2000-4000
11%
4000-10000

On the task described in https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.09677, what will be the length of tasks that Gemini 3 will be able to complete in one go?

I'm an author, and I will run the same setup above^ to resolve this.

Currently:
GPT-5 Thinking is 1024
Claude 4 Sonnet is 432
Grok-4 is 384

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

added some liquidity

@Bayesian thanks!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy