Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Achieve Silver Medal Performance on the 2025 IMO?
16
100แน294Dec 31
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve when the model first comes out and is tested
Update 2025-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - No Deep Think or parallel compute: Results using Deep Think or any parallel compute system will not count toward resolution; only standard, non-parallel inference will be considered.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Gemini perfect score on IMO 2026?
28% chance
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
77% chance
Gemini 3 Pro exits preview by EOY?
18% chance
Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Preview have very low rate limits OR high latency OR multiple unstable weights?
21% chance
Who will overtake Gemini 2.5 pro when?
How many will Gemini 3.0 achieve? [Read description]
2.19