When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords?
21
1kแน€9234
2027
0.9%
Between the election and the Inauguration
0.9%
From when Trump takes office to June 30, 2025
4%
From July 1, 2025 to Dec. 31, 2025
48%
In 2026
46%
After 2026, or never

  • Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the date of signature of the Abraham Accords by Saudi Arabia, not the date of public announcement of agreement.

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@JeffBerman if they end up signing Abraham accords, what is the date you will use to resolve?

  • The date of the public announcement of agreement to go for the accord

  • The date of final document signature

For other countries there was a period of several weeks between both dates.

@MiguelLM Good question. Let's be true to the phrasing at the time of market creation: "When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords?" So this will resolve when they sign.

@JeffBerman Please resolve "between the election and the inauguration" as NO, I have a lot of mana locked up there.

opened a แน€3,000 NO at 1.0% order

@nathanwei Unfortunately, it's not possible to resolve individual options early in dependent markets. (If you want, I could take it off your hands for the 1%.)

@UnspecifiedPerson I'll hold it but thanks for the offer.

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