Top SWE-Bench Pro public dataset score by January 1, 2026
7
125Ṁ841Jan 1
53.3 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
0.00% - 29.99%
1%
30.00% - 39.99%
70%
40.00% - 54.99%
28%
55%+
This market predicts what the highest score on the SWE-Bench Pro public dataset leaderboard will be as of January 1, 2026.
Current top performers on SWE-Bench Pro public dataset (as of September 24 2025):
OpenAI GPT-5: 23.26%
Claude Opus 4.1: 22.71%
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to the score range that contains the highest score on the official SWE-Bench Pro public dataset leaderboard (https://scale.com/leaderboard/swe_bench_pro_public) as of January 1, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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created a market for half 2026 https://manifold.markets/RenanCunha/best-swebench-pro-public-score-by-j
Market might be a little scuffed because I'm cheap with mana. Feel free to make another market for SWE-Bench Pro that is more precise
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