How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?
6
245แน€756
2030
80%
Fewer than 1300
76%
Fewer than 1100
55%
Fewer than 900
1.9%
Fewer than 700

Falcon 9 has made over 300 flights to orbit already, but of course SpaceX is working on Starship as their next launcher. It's almost guaranteed that Falcon 9 will continue flying at least until 2030 to support ISS but the Starlink launch need may well shift to Starship soon.

I'll use the list in NasaSpaceFlight forums or similar to judge this if necessary. Falcon Heavy is not included in the count.

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Apologies for the late resolution on <500 - this happened in July.

450 today

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