
Who will be first to AGI
51
1.3kṀ25912050
24%
OpenAI
5%
Microsoft
5%
Meta
3%
Huggingface/homegrown
28%
Google
5%
US government
15%
China government
1.3%
Russia government
1.3%
Apple
13%
AGI is impossible
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Which company will create AGI first?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
19% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
42% chance
Sort by:
@jim What if AGI is not impossible and actually happens but none of these companies/governments ever reach it because the AGI is a runaway intelligence and blocks all other forms of AGI from developing?
@BrianBors no problem... but to be clear I'm not the market creator and it's not up to me how this resolves!
@jim Ha! It's good that you mention this because I did interpret it that way and bet on that assumption. XD But that is my fault.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will lead the AGI race end of 2025?
Which company will create AGI first?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Will we get AGI before September 1st 2027?
19% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
42% chance

