What will happen first

1kṀ3770

2034

ALL

52%

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated above ground in a test orchestrated by humans.

36%

A nuclear missile is decommissioned in order for its fissile material to be used to power a nuclear power plant that provides power to an AI datacenter.

14%

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated in a conflict or as an act of terror by humans.

An AI accident or malevolent act causes a nuke to detonate.

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Which of these four events will happen first? #1

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@strutheo check out the hashtags for this market.

Total probabilities should add up to at most 100% (less if everything resolves to NO if none has happened on the scheduled close date)

They're currently at 169% (nice).

bought Ṁ150 NO

Only one option can resolve yes, right?

@TheAllMemeingEye Only one option can resolve yes.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@LesterCrafton thanks :)

People are also trading

What will happen first?

What will happen first

Will these things happen

Which will happen first?

Which will occur first?

Which of the following events will happen first?

Which game will be released first?

Which happens first?

Which war will end first?

Which of these four events will happen first? #1

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