Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?
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1kṀ1052035
55%
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Resolves N/A if no clear sufficiently-authoritative survey data exists.
Context 2: https://news.gallup.com/poll/656708/lgbtq-identification-rises.aspx
Context 3 [ my article ]: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XH463zpuJi75ynMzj/uncursing-civilization
Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The drop in trans rates must be between 2025 and 2035 (not just any drop by 2035).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ArtimisFowl The stated position? I expect real rates to keep rising, impossible though that may seem to most. Maybe I should clarify that the drop must be between 2025 and 2035.
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