Will an algorithm be able to work on million-line codebases before 2026?
16
110Ṁ357
Jan 1
26%
chance
8

Resolves as YES if there exists an algorithm capable of reasoning over, answering questions about and working on codebases (not seen during training) with at least one million lines of code, to the same level as humans who are experts on these codebases, before Jan 1st 2026

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@traders gpt-5.1-pro says no for this: https://imgur.com/a/XlodPRW

https://youtu.be/E6hCFDfkijU?si=99OGhzv8Pba8zXMl&t=1530

Does Cursor (the IDE) count as "an algorithm"? If a person uses Cursor to answer questions about a million line codebase, and the answers are on the sane level as human experts, would this market resolve to "yes"?

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