Each answer resolves to the share of the national popular vote received by each of the main parties in the next UK General Election following July 2024, with named parties rounded to the nearest full percentage. i.e. if results were the same as 2024 then this would resolve 34% Labour, 24% Conservative, 14% Reform, 12% Liberal Democrat, 7% Green, 3% SNP, 6% other.
1,000@MarkNicoll each option will resolve to % vote share. So say you think the greens will get 20% vote share. Right now they’re priced at 6%. You can set a limit order on Greens YES at 15% and every time someone bets against that, you’ll automatically buy shares. If you’re right then come election day, Greens will resolve at 20% and every share you bought at below that price will be profitable. If you buy Greens YES shares at 30% then you’d lose money because you overpaid.
This kind of market is a little complex with I think does put people off a bit. I personally would only use limit orders here.