@realDonaldTrump banned from Manifold by January 1?
13
100Ṁ509
Jan 1
22%
chance

If any account with the username "@realDonaldTrump" is banned by January 1 2026, resolves YES, otherwise resolves NO.

I am @notrealDonaldTrump's / @realDonaldTrump's sister (a.k.a. Elizabeth) and so I think this will definitely happen

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boughtṀ50YES

@Eliza bruh the fact you think it's more likely than not

bought Ṁ50 YES

Last time I did this I totally won my whole bet.

@OOPS What if they change their username to avoid getting banned? Are there any loopholes?

@Eliza @realDonaldTrump is the alt account currently

@Stralor or rather, one of them. the main account is @notrealDonaldTrump

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