2nd Ashes Test 2025/26 Predictions (D/N)
23
825Ṁ6995
Dec 7
98%
Australia Win
98%
Starc 10fa
97%
Starc MoTM
96%
Game finishes on day 4
87%
Head opens in both innings
73%
Rain Delay
57%
Winner by innings
5%
Marnus top run scorer
3%
Usman Dropped
2%
One whole day is rained out
2%
Atkinson 5fa
1.6%
Jofra 5fa
1%
Draw
1%
Someone hits a double ton
1%
Steve Smith 100
Resolved
YES
Australia Bowl First
Resolved
YES
Root 100

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the outcomes of the 2nd Ashes Test between Australia and England, scheduled from December 4 to December 8, 2025, at The Gabba in Brisbane. The match is a day-night Test, played with a pink ball under lights. Resolutions will be determined using official match reports from reputable sources such as ESPNcricinfo and the BBC.

  • Draw: Resolves "Yes" if the match concludes without a winner.

  • Tie: Resolves "Yes" if both teams finish with identical scores.

  • Australia Win: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins the match.

  • Australia Win Toss: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins the pre-match coin toss.

  • Australia Bowl First: Resolves "Yes" if Australia chooses to bowl first after winning the toss or is asked to bowl first by England.

  • Root 100: Resolves "Yes" if England's Joe Root scores 100 or more runs in a single innings.

  • Smith 100: Resolves "Yes" if Australia's Steve Smith scores 100 or more runs in a single innings.

  • Starc 10fa: Resolves "Yes" if Australia's Mitchell Starc takes 10 or more wickets in the match.

  • Starc 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if Mitchell Starc takes 5 or more wickets in a single innings.

  • Atkinson 5fa: Resolves "Yes" if England's Gus Atkinson takes 5 or more wickets in a single innings.

Background

The 2nd Ashes Test of the 2025/26 series is set to be a day-night match at The Gabba, marking the first time Brisbane hosts a pink-ball Ashes Test. (espncricinfo.com)

Key Players:

  • Joe Root: A seasoned batsman for England, known for his consistent performance and leadership.

  • Steve Smith: Australia's prolific run-scorer, recently surpassing 10,000 Test runs and holding the record for most Test centuries by an Australian in Asia. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • Mitchell Starc: Australia's left-arm fast bowler, renowned for his effectiveness with the pink ball in day-night Tests.

  • Gus Atkinson: An emerging fast bowler for England, recognized for his pace and potential impact in the series. (bbc.com)

Considerations

  • Day-Night Dynamics: The pink ball used in day-night Tests can behave differently under lights, potentially favoring fast bowlers like Starc and Atkinson.

  • Venue History: The Gabba has traditionally been a stronghold for Australia, though the shift to a day-night format introduces new variables.

  • Player Form and Fitness: Monitor the form and fitness of key players leading up to the match, as injuries or slumps can significantly influence outcomes.

  • Update 2025-12-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For any market regarding Usman's exclusion due to performance: Cricket Australia, coaches, or the captain must specifically state that Usman isn't playing due to performance for it to resolve as Yes.

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CA / Coaches / Captain have to specifically say Usman isn’t playing due to performance for it to resolve as yes.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Usman bring rested due to back injury does not equal him being dropped.

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