Shouldn't this market trend up over time conditional on no huge news about his health?

@SentientTree Yeah it's a bit weird. But there have been some minor negative health-related stories, maybe they are responsible?

@AhronMaline I give him max 12~18 months of life. I'm happy to buy more no shares at 80%

@TheWabiSabi The way you phrased that sounds a helluva lot more confident than buying NO at 80%...

For myself, I'll prob keep on buying a few YES shares a day for a while, not all at once. And for now I'm getting them cheaper than 80%.

@AhronMaline without my NO shares market would be around 87-88%. But think 75-80% is still a great deal.

@TheWabiSabi Wow, I take back any denigration of your confidence level! So I guess you're the answer to @SentientTree's question...

Thank you for the good prices!

If any body wants to take a hyper specific bet:

/Quroe/will-trumps-2nd-presidential-term-l

Placed no limit at 77% for who's interested.

https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/2025/07/17/what-is-chronic-venous-insufficiency-donald-trump-cvi/85260260007/

Individuals with CVI experience an elevated risk of death, which is independent of age and sex, and present cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities.

I'm huffing copium, but like he's old and if not that surely someone's gonna do it

Related:

Upgraded to premium

Seems unhealthy and out of shape. Maybe too old for office...