Resolves according to my personal opinion on whether each measure has been implemented, I will not trade in this market. Please yell at me in the comments if I forget not to make trades.
All options resolve N/A if Zohran Mamdani never becomes mayor. Individual answers will also N/A if the policy described in the answer was already in place before Mamdani became mayor and he did not advance new policies in addition to those.
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question, the creator specified that for the 'free city buses' option to be considered implemented, it would require all city buses to be made free.
Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the 'Free childcare in NYC' option, the creator has clarified that for it to resolve to YES, the program must be universal.
This is defined as free childcare for every New Yorker aged 6 weeks to 5 years.
This reverses a previous clarification and is based on the creator's stated intent for the market to track the fulfillment of campaign promises.
Update 2025-10-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that policies will be considered for resolution based on implementation whenever Zohran Mamdani leaves office (if he becomes mayor). There is no specific deadline within his term for policies to be implemented.
Update 2025-11-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Any policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age" to resolve YES, children must be required (obligated) to learn Arabic numerals. Since pre-K is not obligatory in NYC, policies affecting only pre-K would not meet this requirement.
Update 2025-11-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Any policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age", this is asking: will there be more new policies focusing on early-age teaching of Arabic numerals?
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@questionyourself What do you mean by "an early age"? This is already current policy on a federal level for some definitions of "early age" and it is almost certain to resolve NO for others (afaik there are no education requirements whatsoever for 3 year olds and nobody is proposing this)
@SaviorofPlant The Mayor of New York City actually has a lot of influence including even early childhood education (Pre-K, 3-K, kindergarten) - far more than most U.S. mayors. Because NYC’s school system is mayor-controlled, not run by an independent school board
.
@SaviorofPlant The mayor appoints the Schools Chancellor, who acts like the CEO of the entire school system. The chancellor sets curriculum priorities, teaching standards, and program expansions.
@SaviorofPlant AI: The state sets general learning standards, but the city chooses the curriculum, such as:
literacy program (what reading method is used)
math curriculum (e.g., Envisions, Illustrative Math, etc.)
science and climate modules
sexuality and health curriculum
diversity, cultural, and civics education
anti-bullying and mental-health programs
art and music requirements
technology / AI / coding
safety protocols
A mayor can reshape what is taught simply by ordering the Chancellor to adopt a new curriculum citywide.
@questionyourself Sure, but pre-K is not obligatory & your answer says that children need to be "required" to learn numbers
@SaviorofPlant AI: Typical meaning of “young age” in the U.S.:
Early childhood: about 0–8 years old
Infants: 0–1
Toddlers: 1–3
Preschool age: 3–5
Early elementary age: 5–8
In school-related contexts (like learning numbers)
When people say “learning at a young age,” they usually mean:
Pre-K (around age 4)
Kindergarten (age 5–6)
Early grades (1st–2nd grade, ages 6–8)
@questionyourself The resolution changes depending on whether you are referring to pre-K (which will likely resolve NO) or kindergarten (in which case this is already the case so I would N/A)
@SaviorofPlant just to be clear, Question: Will there be more new policies focusing on early-age teaching of Arabic numerals?
@HenryRodgers Any free childcare program or policy that expands access & didn't exist before he was mayor is enough edit: ignore this
@SaviorofPlant Actually never mind, this is in his platform:
"Zohran will implement free childcare for every New Yorker aged 6 weeks to 5 years, ensuring high quality programming for all families."
This market was intended to be about whether he fulfills the promises in his platform, so it does need to be universal. Sorry for the confusion, I forgot my intention when I created this market