Resolved YES if ICE officers are implicated in the direct death of a US civilian during federal immigration enforcement operations. Medical or illness deaths are not considered direct.
Resolves NO after November 2028 if this has not happened.
Update 2025-11-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if an ICE agent is implicated in such action by multiple reliable sources at any time, including if it comes to light that the incident occurred before market creation. The market is predicting discovery/implication, not just the timing of the act itself.
Update 2025-12-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For resolution purposes, a civilian is defined as:
Someone both living and working in America, OR
Any US citizen who is not on active military duty at the time of their death
1,000People are also trading
What's the definition of "US civilian" for the purposes of this market? Is it enough to be living in the country (legally or illegally), or do they need to have full citizenship to count? Do you mean civilian as in "a person not on active duty in United States Armed Forces", or are you using a wider definition?
@Andriamanitra good question: for resolution a civilian is someone both living and working in america, or any US citizen who is not on active military duty (at the time of their death).
@JussiVilleHeiskanen I would resolve YES, if at any time any ICE agent is justifiably implicated in such action by multiple reliable sources.