Manifold The Site 2026 Prop Bets
22
3.1kṀ3780
2026
5%
Site shuts down permanently/indefinitely
45%
manifold.markets/home changes to something other than Browse
54%
Mentioned in NYT
55%
Mana-purchasable profile flair
35%
Raises $10M+ in external funding
22%
Partner-esque program (re)launches
34%
A founder returns
60%
ReReRePivot (a new method for real money launches)
41%
Active traders (daily 7d avg) >2000 at any point
29%
Top-10 user on profit/creator/referral leaderboard permabanned
29%
Mana Merch Shop sells Ṁ10M+
28%
A mod permabanned
18%
New currency
12%
Acquired by another prediction market company
29%
3+ ManifestXs
54%
Manifest happens and >600 attendees
19%
Site completely offline for continuous 24h+
41%
$10k+ mana sales in one day
72%
New type(s) of user badge
86%
Anybody stays in Masters all 12 months

What's going to be new? What's going to change or stay the same? What's going to happen AGAIN?

Must happen in 2026. Illegitimate stuff won't count, ofc.

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