Will the scientific consensus in 2030 be that Lantern Bioworks' Lumina Probiotic is effective at reducing cavities?
36
1kṀ3685
2030
29%
chance

Technology
Science
Medicine
Health
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Can you clarify which product? Their existing one and only their existing one, or does this include new products they might release?

@corinfinite Done, just their existing product

People are also trading

Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
5% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2027?
5% chance
Will Lumina / BCS3-L1 by Lantern Bioworks be available in the EU by 2026?
8% chance
Will I get an oral inoculation against cavities through GMO bacteria, via Lantern Bioworks or similar, by end of 2033?
58% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
10% chance
Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?
23% chance
Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will the Lumina oral probiotic treatment reduce the rate of cavities by at least 50% in the 4 years after application?
45% chance
Will I get a cure to cavities before 2030?
14% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy