Will the total world population peak before the end of 2060?
2
90Ṁ11
2060
58%
chance

Resolves once the end date is reached, or there's two straight years of decline. If it declines one year and then continues increasing, I won't consider it to have peaked.

World
Public Health
Population
Fertility
Human Population
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

People are also trading

Will the world human population be <6 Billion on December 26, 2027?
2% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2040?
28% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2070?
58% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2100?
71% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2090?
71% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2080?
70% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2050?
57% chance
Will the world population decrease before 2025?
2% chance
Will the total world population peak over 10.5 billion?
61% chance
Will the total world population peak over 10 billion?
71% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy