Who will Trump pardon in 2025? [Polymarket]
46
1kṀ6974Dec 31
99.3%
Rudy Giuliani
99.1%
Changpeng Zhao
99%
George Santos
9%
Steve Bannon
7%
Derek Chauvin
7%
Roger Ver
6%
Eric Adams
6%
Matt Gaetz
5%
Young Thug
5%
Julian Assange
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Bob Menendez
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Roger Stone
5%
Joe Exotic
5%
Diddy
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Antoine Massey
4%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Himself
Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025
Each option will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Trump pardons Maxwell in 2025?
6% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
8% chance
Who will Trump pardon ? [Independent Megamarket]
Will Trump Pardon Snowden by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
3% chance
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
29% chance
Donald Trump gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
24% chance