[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
13
1.6kṀ2500
2029
68%
Any law enforcement officials accused of police brutality or misconduct
64%
Any cryptocurrency executives or blockchain industry figures
59%
Edward Snowden
59%
Any members of his second term cabinet
57%
Any cryptocurrency or tech industry founders
55%
Any member of the armed forces for conduct reported as a potential war crime
55%
Any members of Trump's legal team or personal attorneys
51%
Any Trump family member
51%
Himself
50%
Derek Chauvin
50%
Any state-level Republican officials
50%
Any anti-abortion activists or religious conservative figures
28%
Any sitting Democratic Governor, Senator, or Congressman
23%
Diddy
23%
Sam Bankman-Fried
22%
Ghislaine Maxwell

Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power

  • Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025). The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.

Politics
US Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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bought Ṁ500 YES

@Houston2025 https://apnews.com/article/trump-pardon-cuellar-45a47bc329bec820cd19c087b20fca19 resolves yes

sold Ṁ500 YES

nvm, I didn't see the detail in the resolution about after 12/3/2026. Maybe make that clearer for other people

@prismatic edited

@Houston2025 title says 12/3/25 but details say 12/3/26 which one is it?

@aaaasterism 2025 - updated

bought Ṁ300 YES

@Houston2025 resolve democratic congressman yes https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/trump-pardoning-democratic-rep-henry-cuellar-after-bribery/story?id=128076464. My original comment was correct

@prismatic This market was made after the Cuellar pardon on 12/3 and covers any pardon after 12/3 (starting 12/4)

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+5% 1d12% chance
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