In prior years, Time has released shortlists of individuals, groups, ideas, or objects that were in the running for that year's Time Person of the Year award. This question is only asking about individual human beings who appear on the 2025 shortlist by name.
To view prior year shortlists, follow this link, look under the "Runners-up" column, and click on [show]:
Wikipedia - Time Person of the Year, Person(s) of the Year
All options that appear on the shortlist will resolve YES as soon as possible after the shortlist is published.
If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve NO. The last two years when Time did not release a shortlist were in 2021 and 2005.
When adding names, please use a formal style to match. Timely good faith edits to new options are permitted. Users who add options that ultimately resolve YES will receive a prize of no less than Ṁ100.
The market creator shall not trade on this question so long as that user has the ability to resolve it.
Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Winning Person of the Year does NOT automatically count as being on the shortlist. Only individuals explicitly named on the published shortlist will resolve YES.
1,000People are also trading
@jks have you considered making the close date earlier, like on December 11 (like the other Time markets)? It might attract more traders if they see that the result is coming soon.
Trading tip: the probabilities currently add up to around 1000%, which means that about 10 of the listed options are expected to make it. But there are usually only 5-9 people on the shortlist in total. And then take in the fact that there will probably be a few finalists who aren't listed here. My point is, you could make a lot of mana by betting down every option.
@ItsMe Correct, “This question is only asking about individual human beings who appear on the 2025 shortlist by name.”
@JackP No, this is only concerning the shortlist, not the winner. That being said, I don't remember the last time the Person of the Year wasn't on the shortlist as well.
@jks Looks like 2020: co-poty Kamala Harris wasn't included on the short list: https://time.com/5919489/time-person-of-the-year-shortlist-2020/
New fun market just dropped:
https://manifold.markets/bens/how-many-of-the-time-2025-poty-fina?r=YmVucw