Will Las Vegas get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?

1kṀ1805

2030

96%

chance

ALL

The first requirement for YES has been met: https://www.mlb.com/athletics/news/athletics-statement-on-relocation

+14%

This market resolves YES after the MLB officially announces that a team will be based in Las Vegas, Nevada, and that team plays a home game in the Las Vegas area. Only the official announcement needs to occur before 1 January 2030; the home game may occur after 1 January 2030.

Sports

Baseball

Las Vegas

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A's officially leaving Oakland after 2024, will play in Sacramento through 2027 until Vegas stadium is ready
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/as-officially-leaving-oakland-after-2024-will-play-in-sacramento-through-2027-until-vegas-stadium-is-ready/

[MLB Commissioner] would be disappointed if A’s Las Vegas ballpark not open by 2028, skeptical of Olympics

"Manfred said a decision to expand to 32 teams could be made within five years but the new teams wouldn’t start play until 2029 at the earliest."

https://apnews.com/article/mlb-owners-as-olympics-eb8546d78d9b556488d4748395dbf584

I thought my resolution criteria were watertight, but there appears to be some ambiguity with the A’s looking for a temporary home. I am going to sell my shares in each of my MLB expansion markets to avoid conflict of interest and put my profits thus far into the respective market’s liquidity.