Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year? | Manifold

Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?

6

178Ṁ1369

2100

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

55%

2%+ (Resolves start of 2027)

30%

2%+ (Resolves start of 2026)

Resolves annually to Metaculus' community prediction. Feel free to add new years and integer thresholds in a matching format.

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