How many Hack Clubbers will there be on Manifold on April 1st, 2026?
10
250Ṁ2523
Apr 1
-168 people
expected
99%
Above 15
97%
Above 20
89%
Above 30
30%
Above 50
13%
Above 75
6%
Above 100
6%
Above 150
6%
Above 200
3%
Above 300
1%
Above 500

This market resolves to the number of members of Hack Club who are known to have joined Manifold by April 1, 2026.

A user will be counted if they have a Hack Club Slack account, and their Manifold account can be matched with reasonable confidence to their Slack account, usually by matching usernames. I may ask them for confirmation if I am uncertain or if they are suspected of market manipulation. However, a user who has a Hack Club Slack account but didn't before they were 18 may not be counted (one example is @NickyCase)

Hack Clubbers do not need to be under 18 to be counted in this market. That means alumni are also counted.

To simplify resolution, I will only consider users mentioned in the comments or ones I have verified myself.

Due to the partially subjective criteria, I will not bet on this market.

List of Hack Clubbers who have joined Manifold so far (not guaranteed to be exhaustive): @khang2009, @Firepup650, @EndofTimee, @EternalNightfall, @gbtsui, @Jooooooooosh, @jollyroger182, @astracelestine, @Gizzy, @SahanaDoodekula, @TomD, @AdrianTennies, @LennyKay, @NovaHarrington, @sadeshmukh, @Charmunk, @JeninHenin, @MateisHomePage, @SamhithPola, @ScooterY, @Shuflduf, @ShymikeMC, @KieranKlukas, @cyteon, @MahadKalam, @junya, @bohaska, @fish3123123, @AidenBohlander, @paperclip, @Christianl56h, @SofiaEgan, @LucasAltamirano, @m0hid, @Lenny9tIcI

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@khang2009 to clarify, 15 would not satisfy the first option (e.g. two additional users), correct?

@Firepup650 yes
16 would

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy