Deepseek

10k
Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?4% chance
1k
Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?3% chance
1.1k
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?YES
100
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)90% chance
1.4k
R2 (DeepSeek) release date
21%
Before 2026
29%
Before February 2026
33%
Before March 2026
Resolved
NO
Before February 2025
See 10 more answers
1.5k
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?7% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy