
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
104
1.2kṀ6095Dec 31
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Conclusion includes agreements similar to Minsk II that signify the end of active conflict, even if minor violations or low-level conflict continue afterward. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
65% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?
82% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
92% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
91% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
21% chance
Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?
80% chance
Will Putin die in office?
68% chance
Sort by:
@PS A peace treaty or an armistice would definitely count, as would a long-term ceasefire as in the Korean War. Obviously it would take a while to be sure that a frozen conflict really was "frozen" but I would consider the Korean War concluded!
@njmkw As late as 2010 there were still casualties though https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombardment_of_Yeonpyeong
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
65% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?
82% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
92% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
91% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
21% chance
Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?
80% chance
Will Putin die in office?
68% chance
