Will AI 2027 happen exactly as written?
7
100Ṁ517resolved Dec 8
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Personal subjective judgement at end of 2028, if we are alive.
there will be no ai clarifications added to this market's description
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ6 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?
9% chance
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
2% chance
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
12% chance
Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?
15% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
8% chance
Which AI 2027 ending will the next three years look more like?
Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
60% chance
Sort by:
@traders This market is basically equivalent to /notrealDonaldTrump/this-market-resolves-no-eoy-2028. If anybody can tell me why I will send them 100 mana.
bought Ṁ341 NO
@brod Correct! (sent the mana)
Also, it predicts everybody will die at the end of 2027 and this resolves in 2028, but this also works.
@notrealDonaldTrump hahaha thanks - I was going off this website's reports https://spicylemonade.github.io/AI-2027-tracker/predictions
boughtṀ10YES
People are also trading
Related questions
"AI 2027" report's predictions borne out by 2027?
9% chance
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
2% chance
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
12% chance
Will there be an AI "lost manuscript" hoax by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?
15% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will ANY of the three major “AI 2027” predictions come true?
8% chance
Which AI 2027 ending will the next three years look more like?
Will AI creative writing have an o1 moment before 2027?
60% chance