Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
26
1kṀ15372029
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?
Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.
If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
People are also trading
Related questions
Will artificial intelligence be directly tied to an unemployment rise in the USA by the end of 2025?
2% chance
When will the AI bubble pop?
2029
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
31% chance
Will the AI bubble pop in 2025?
6% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
4% chance
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
6% chance
If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?
36% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
8% chance