Keir Starmer Resignation Month
16
225Ṁ9762028
1%
November 2025
5%
December 2025
6%
January 2026
5%
February 2026
4%
March 2026
3%
April 2026
24%
May 2026
2%
June 2026
50%
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on when Starmer formally resigns to the King, regardless of the reason for leaving office. This includes scenarios such as:
Labour losing an election
Starmer losing a leadership challenge
Any other circumstance that results in him leaving Number 10
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if Starmer dies while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Keir Starmer out as UK Prime Minister by December 31, 2025
1% chance
Keir Starmer resigns in 2025?
3% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by year end?
98% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
7/29/27
Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?
64% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
12% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
21% chance
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes the only thing that has now occurred to me is if Starmer would be able to resign if he lost his seat
@JoshuaWilkes https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/prime-minister-loses-seat-general-election
Seems quite clear that he would
People are also trading
Related questions
Keir Starmer out as UK Prime Minister by December 31, 2025
1% chance
Keir Starmer resigns in 2025?
3% chance
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by year end?
98% chance
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
When will Keir Starmer stop being leader of the Labour Party?
7/29/27
Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?
64% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
12% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
21% chance